Some spread thoughts on Biden's period as president

With Joe Biden about to become president in the US, some thoughts on challenges and what to expect - in my subjective opinion.

Covid-19
The pandemic will be a headache. Biden takes over a nation where the virus runs wild, with 400.000 documented deaths and the number of people with long term negative health effects probably ranging in the millions. All of which will hit the economy in different ways, all of them negative.
Even if managing to speed up the vaccination procedures, expect at least 400.000 more dead under Biden. When a virus is running wild, prevention is difficult. Preventive measures may slow the spread a bit, and some stopping power is better than none, but at this stage it will be like using coke bottles to stop a flood.
Biden's political opponents will of course hammer away as the death toll continues to rise, and accusations unfounded in fact and logic on the pandemic will be an ongoing feature of Biden's presidency. Expect the Republicans to take back the senate in 2023, with Covid-19 being one of the many reasons the Republicans will manage to sell into their base that they would have handled better if given the chance.

The Economy
The stock markets boomed under Trump, the rest of the economy not so much. Fixing the underlying economy will lead to negative short term effects on the stock market and people with fortunes and heavy investments in those markets financing negative campaigns against Biden and the Democratic party. One might also expect more equality on taxation issues, possibly also a reduction of governmental subsidies to major corporations, all of which will lead to negative campaigns and political statements.
As government subsidies to individuals and corporations due to Covid-19 as well as various protections for individuals will be phased out at some point, there will be a negative hit to the economy due to that. Hoe much and how great remains to be seen, but a recession and possibly a depression is rather expected on a worldwide scale. My impression is that the US by and large is among the developed nations least prepared to deal with such a situation presently.

Infrastructure
Among the many promises Trump made that were never realized is a much needed overhaul of US infrastructure. Roads, bridges, power supply lines, water delivery, sewage systems and presumably a lot of government properties of various kinds need heavy investments. There will be a workforce available to cater for these issues, if the government is actually willing to spend the funds needed for an overhaul process that easily can take a decade to finish is another matter. Securing good quality maintenance of infrastructure is an increasingly pressing issue though,  and one can hope that this task will finally commence. It would also serve as a relief from what might be a challenging short term unemployment issue, and may well also lay the foundations for increased productivity. Hence a massive investment that may well pay itself back in a shorter amount of time than most would assume.

Population health
Regular people's health challenges is a growing concern. The insurance system, for various reasons, appears to become steadily less efficient and effective. The number of stories about people dying from diseases such as diabetes and asthma appear to be increasing. If this is an actual increase or due to a stronger focus on such issues can of course be questioned. The number of regular working people that have to go crowdfunding to pay for health challenges is increasing, and more anecdotal it would also appear to me that the number of people with health challenges they cannot afford to treat appear to be rising as well.
While this is of course problematic for the individuals living in this, the US economy will also be suffering from this. People that are ill but untreated are less productive, will have more sick leave of they have the opportunity at their workplace, and they will also be more prone to errors that translates back to less income for their employers.
Biden isn't the president that will call for any major overhaul or change in current systems, but hopefully he will make some minor adjustments to lessen the burden ever so slightly for individuals.

The political divide
Four years of fearmongering on top of almost four decades of an active strategy by one party in particular have lead to a situation where around one fifth of the adult US population now believe in fairy tales more far fetched than the fairly tales of rainbows and unicorns, with a further fifth of the population apparently distrusting their fellow Americans to such a degree that they are uncomfortable being in the same space as them. A general distrust in fact and science play a large part in this developing, fueled by professionals whose job should be to present facts that have chosen to leave ethical thinking behind to present opinion instead. Most commonly by operating out from a fact foundation and then flavoring them with conspiratorial thoughts and opinions. What played out post election 2020 showcased this aspect of the US in a depressingly spectacular fashion. More than two months later tens of millions of people still question an election firmly documented nationally and internationally as a fair election. And with almost the same number of people actually supporting the notion of a violent takeover of the US government.
This divide isn't a matter that will be resolved in a presidential period. This is a divide that has been built, brick by brick, over a period of 40 years. It will take the same amount of time to deconstruct it, and then given that the US elects presidents able and willing to deconstruct this situation in each election for this time period. The divide may have increased slightly when Biden leaves office, but not in any substantial amount.

Terrorism
As matters look right now, I rather suspect that internal terrorism will be on the rise in the next four years. With Timothy McVeigh the idol of hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of angry and/or disillusioned Americans, many truly believing that Biden is a communist and that the US is about to enter the age of apocalypse, expect some rather dramatic actions to take place. What happened on January 6th will have to be seen as a careful warning.
The question isn't if terrorist actions will occur, the question is to how great an extent terrorist actions can be stopped before they are executed. Mass shootings for sure, bombs of various kinds are likely. Hopefully most or all of these actions will be stopped before the final red button is pushed, but do not be surprised if something really dramatic and historical will take place in the next 4 years.

Politically driven changes
I expect Biden to be able to implement a number if minor changes in his first two years. I then suspect for reasons explicitly as well as not stated stated that the Republicans will take back the congress as well as the senate in 2023. After that it will be a charred Earth policy with Biden being opposed merely because he is Biden. I expect the final two years of Biden's reign to be something close to a catastrophe, with the best interests of the US as a nation sabotaged full out for the sake of political power. Leading up to the election of Trump's political successor in 2025.

Footnote
These are predictions mainly built on gut feeling, posted on January 17th 2021, mainly so that I can look back at them in 2023 and 2025 to see how much I got right and how much I got wrong. My main hope is that the negative guesswork will not happen, or will be reduced in stature from what I believe right here and right now.

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